The Top 10 Cases in Counter-Strike 2 by Odds
The experience of watching a CS2 case open injects a thrill into any Counter-Strike player out there, and to some of us, nothing beats the adrenaline boost from watching a brand-new weapon skin pop out of the case. Each CS2 case, however, has different odds of dropping decent skins, and knowing the odds is half the path to getting the rarest and most valuable skins out there.
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CS2 categorizes guns based on rarity, designated as “Weapon Quality.” These classifications include Common (Consumer Grade, Base Grade), Uncommon (Industrial Grade), Rare (Mil-Spec, High Grade), Mythical (Restricted, Remarkable), Legendary (Classified, Exotic), Ancient (Covert, Extraordinary), Exceedingly Rare (Knife, Gloves), and Immortal (Contraband, discontinued). However, Common and Uncommon skins don’t drop from CS2 cases, and you can get them only as post-game rewards, with a vast number of players farming them with the use of CS2 boosting services. Similarly, the discontinuation of Rose Gold items has left the rest to appear in CS2 case drops. |
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Now, taking a look at the odds of getting a drop in each rarity level, we can get a notion of how many cases you need to crack before dropping an Exceedingly Rare weapon skin. China's Ministry of Culture compelled Valve to reveal the official CS2 drop rates back in 2017, or else they risked heavy sanctions, including a complete ban from selling in China. These rates are now officially public; let’s take a look:
- Rare (Navy Blue): 79.92%
- Mythical (Purple): 15.98%
- Legendary (Hot Pink): 3.2%
- Ancient (Red): 0.64%
- Exceedingly Rare (Gold): 0.26%
While we all know that the odds of profiting from CS2 case openings are slim, everyone enjoys a bit of risk once in a while. Even when you strike gold, making a big profit can take hundreds of cases or never happen at all. A knife skin can drop from a cheap case and boost your steam wallet by thousands of dollars, but for those who are looking for specific skins, purchasing them outright often proves more cost-effective than relying on chance.
And that’s not all. There’s always a chance of obtaining a StatTrak variant, which adds another layer of rarity to CS2 drops, with only a 1 in 10 chance for any drop. StatTrak variants sell for higher prices due to their scarcity, making them some of the rarest skins in CS2.
Despite the fact that this market is over ten years old and has grown exponentially during the CS:GO days, CS2 continues to make headlines with its remarkable skin drops that sell for thousands of dollars.
For investors who want to try and make a profit from CS2 cases, understanding the average CS2 case ROI, or return on investment, is vital. While current odds can help you understand the market, boosting your chances to profit, the volatile nature of the CS2 market means these figures are subject to change at any moment. Nevertheless, here are the top ten cases with the highest return on investment in CS2 in 2024:
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Despite the transition from CS:GO to Counter-Strike 2, CS2 case odds and drop rates remain unchanged. However, the release of the new game undoubtedly influences the overall return on investment in certain cases.
If you’re feeling lucky, go get your hands on a couple of cases, and may the odds be ever in your favor!
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